Hurricane Tammy Management

H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Management ...

and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has strengthened modestly because Friday night.

The storm strengthened into a typhoon on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual location for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.

By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.

The path northward away from the Caribbean has become less specific. Tammy was initially expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system guidance is now suggesting that the storm may wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.

Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a large and incredibly effective hurricane that triggered massive damage and significant death. It is the costliest typhoon to ever strike the United States, surpassing the record previously held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.


Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Typhoon Katrina was because of flooding caused by engineering flaws in the flood security system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, as well as big locations in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.

Typhoon cautions have now been released for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That means typhoon conditions are expected in a few of these locations. You can see the most recent warnings and watches in the map below.

Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high browse from Tammy should spread out across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.

Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rains (in your area approximately 4 inches).

T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.

Norma, now a Category 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center stated.

Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were taking place over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.

Norma is expected to be a little weaker by the time it strikes land, however it still will be a typhoon that might bring deadly conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the typhoon center stated.

In the Atlantic Ocean, on the other hand, Cyclone Tammy-- a Category 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has set off cyclone cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island countries and areas between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.

Neither storm is a risk to the United States.

In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum continual winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center said at 2 p.m. ET.

The Category 1 typhoon lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center stated.

Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and then move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extended outside approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward approximately 125 miles.

Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the third hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to cyclone specialist Michael Lowry.

It's likewise the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic given that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.

Hurricane professionals previously alerted hurricanes could form in unusual areas later in the season this year because of the remarkably warm Atlantic Ocean.

A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.

Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most serious dangers and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rain totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, however could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain should be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.

Conditions will begin to improve from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.

With Tammy in the Atlantic, just 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.

Hurricane Tammy